Thursday, June 30, 2016

Hillary's Voters

Hillary’s electoral base consists of blacks, Hispanics, Jews, and old women.  For better or worse, it’s enough to win. 

Bill Clinton made himself the first black President by appealing to blacks and pushing for programs that benefitted them.  Thus Obama was really the second black President, and Hillary wants to be the third.  Blacks and Hispanics have pretty much voted as a group, while the white vote has been more evenly split According to Roper, these are the percentages showing how different races voted in Presidential races where race was a major factor.  .    

Election
Blacks
Hispanics
Whites
83%
61%
39%
Clinton 1996
84%
73%
44%
Obama 2008
95%
67%
43%
93%
71%
39%

Because immigration has been such an important issue this year, Hillary can probably count on an even greater Hispanic vote. 

In addition, Hillary is making a strong appeal to women.  So far, the commentators say that she is succeeding with older women, but less so with young women, who prefer Bernie Sanders, and thus are less enthusiastic supporters of Hillary than old women.


These dependable blocs of Hillary voters probably assure her the election.  

In addition to these pools of voters, the Clintons have developed a reliable base of Jewish supporters.  The Jews don’t have much to offer in numbers of voters, but they have immense amounts of money to offer.  This Jewish money will enable her to run the ads and the ground campaign to turn out the voters she needs. 

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